A structural Ricardian valuation of climate change impacts on agriculture in Pakistan.

333 S. : graph. Darst., Kt. ; 22 cm, 540 g Tadelloses Exemplar. - Table of Contents -- Preface 7 -- Acknowledgements 9 -- List of Figures and Tables 15 -- 1 Introduction and Problem Statement 19 -- 1.1 Objectives 23 -- 1.2 Conceptual Approach 24 -- 2 The Agriculture Sector of Pakistan 27 -- 2.1 Geography and Soils 27 -- 2.2 Climate and Water Resources of Pakistan 31 -- 2.2.1 Climate 31 -- 2.2.2 Water resources 36 -- 2.3 Agro-Ecological Zones of Pakistan 40 -- 2.4 Development of the Agricultural Sector in Pakistan 44 -- 2.4.1 Land use pattern in Pakistan 44 -- 2.4.2 Agricultural Production - Major Crops of Pakistan 47 -- 2.4.3 History of Land reforms, Farm structures and tenurial systems 60 -- 2.5 Domestic Agricultural Policy 66 -- 2.6 Agriculture in the National Economy 74 -- 2.6.1 Agriculture and the GDP 75 -- 2.6.2 Employment....'. 76 -- 2.6.3 Trade 78 -- 2.7 Investment and Agricultural Credit 81 -- 2.8 Total Factor Productivity 85 -- 3 The role of climate in agricultural production and local vulnerabilities 89 -- 3.1 Agricultural Production under Climate Change and the response of crop growth.... 89 -- 3.2 Vulnerability to Climate Change in Pakistan 95 -- 3.2.1 Temperature 96 -- 3.2.2 Precipitation 99 -- 3.2.3 Extreme Events 102 -- 4 Modeling the Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture 107 -- 4.1 Crop Simulation Approach or Agronomic models 108 -- 4.2 Economy-wide models: Computable General Equilibrium Models (CGE) 110 -- 4.3 Econometric Approach: The Standard Ricardian Model 111 -- 5 Ricardian Studies- Literature Review 117 -- 5.1 Conceptual understanding of the Ricardian Approach 123 -- 5.2 Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture 132 -- 5.3 Adaptation and the importance of Local Traditional Knowledge (LTK) 136 -- 5.4 Black Box of Adaptation- The Structural Ricardian Method 139 -- 6 Standard Ricardian Model - Modifications and Application to Pakistan 145 -- 6.1 Study Area and Data 145 -- 6.2 Econometric estimation 165 -- 6.2.1 Structural multicollinearity, outliers, leverage and influence 166 -- 6.2.2 Climate Sensitivity and Spatial Autocorrelation 170 -- 6.3 Interpretation of the parameter estimates 179 -- 6.3.1 Ricardian Climate Sensitivities 185 -- 6.3.2 Control Variables 205 -- 7 Structural Ricardian Model for the economic impact assessment of Climate Change ..211 -- 7.1 Dataset and Study Area 211 -- 7.2 Empirical strategy 213 -- 7.3 First stage crop choice model- Interpretation of results 219 -- 7.4 Second stage income regressions- Interpretation of results 229 -- 8 Climate Change Scenarios and Simulations using the Ricardian Approach 235 -- 8.1 Specification of future Climate Change for Pakistan 235 -- 8.2 Climate Change Simulations 244 -- 8.2.1 Simulations using the Standard Ricardian Model 244 -- 8.2.2 Simulations using the Structural Ricardian Model 251 -- 9 Conclusions and Policy Implications 259 -- 10 German Summary 267 -- List of References 277 -- Annex 315 ISBN 9783631650141

Pakistan ; Landwirtschaft ; Klimaänderung ; Strukturanpassung ; Landwirtschaftliches Einkommen ; Ackerbau ; Komparative Kosten, Wirtschaft